Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legnano vs Tritium

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Malago M.
71' Event
Meneses S.
77' Event
Bertaglio R.

AI Match Summary

Tritium in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tritium.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Legnano
35%
Draws
13%
Tritium
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Legnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Legnano lately — more wins on the board than Tritium.
  • Legnano are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Legnano Clean Sheet 68%
Tritium Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnano Tritium
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Tritium
1:2
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Legnano
0:1
Apr 5, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Tritium
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Legnano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Malago M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tritium Compare

Top Goalscorer Meneses S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertaglio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnano 68 / 100
Tritium 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnano Tritium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tritium conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Legnano's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Legnano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Tritium registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legnano VS Tritium
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnano

(Home)
12 May
Legnano
0 : 5
Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3
Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1
USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1
Varesina
Page 1 of 6

Tritium

(Away)
14 Aug
Tritium
2 : 2
Solbiatese
05 May
Tritium
2 : 4
Pro Palazzolo
28 Apr
Club Milano
1 : 1
Tritium
21 Apr
Tritium
0 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
14 Apr
Caravaggio
3 : 2
Tritium
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)