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Legnica II vs BKS Sparta Katowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Mazurek M.
81' Event
Sobolewski P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Legnica II and BKS Sparta Katowice finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BKS Sparta Katowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Legnica II
20%
Draws
32%
BKS Sparta Katowice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legnica II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BKS Sparta Katowice come out ahead of Legnica II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Legnica II a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors BKS Sparta Katowice here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Legnica II Clean Sheet 10%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnica II BKS Sparta Katowice
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.28 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Legnica II vs BKS Sparta Katowice
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Legnica II
2:2
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Legnica II vs BKS Sparta Katowice
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnica II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazurek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sobolewski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnica II 65 / 100
BKS Sparta Katowice 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnica II BKS Sparta Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnica II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnica II found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

BKS Sparta Katowice has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Legnica II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legnica II VS BKS Sparta Katowice
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnica II

(Home)
10 Oct
Legnica II
2 : 1
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Legnica II
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
Sleza Wroclaw
3 : 5
Legnica II
12 Sept
Legnica II
5 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Page 1 of 6

BKS Sparta Katowice

(Away)
10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0
BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1
Kluczbork
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)