Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legnica II vs Carina Gubin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Haraszkiewicz P.
32' Event
Podgorski J.
52' Event
Czyborra L.

AI Match Summary

Legnica II in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legnica II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Legnica II
22%
Draws
18%
Carina Gubin
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Legnica II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Legnica II lately — more wins on the board than Carina Gubin.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Legnica II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Legnica II Clean Sheet 16%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnica II Carina Gubin
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Legnica II vs Carina Gubin
3:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Legnica II vs Carina Gubin
5:2
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Legnica II
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Legnica II
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Legnica II vs Carina Gubin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnica II Compare

Top Goalscorer Podgorski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Czyborra L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Haraszkiewicz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnica II 57 / 100
Carina Gubin 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnica II Carina Gubin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnica II found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Legnica II stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Carina Gubin has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Legnica II VS Carina Gubin
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnica II

(Home)
18 Jul
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legnica II
11 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2
Legnica II
30 May
Legnica II
2 : 1
Starowice Dolne
22 May
Zaglebie II
1 : 3
Legnica II
16 May
Legnica II
6 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
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Carina Gubin

(Away)
15 Jul
Zielona Gora
2 : 3
Carina Gubin
11 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Carina Gubin
30 May
Carina Gubin
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2
Carina Gubin
16 May
Carina Gubin
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)