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Legnica II vs Starowice Dolne

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legnica II play Starowice Dolne in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. Legnica II are favorites here. Recently, Legnica II averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Starowice Dolne averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. In past meetings, Legnica II won 3, Starowice Dolne won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Legnica II and 1.06 for Starowice Dolne. This points to a Legnica II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Legnica II
21%
Draws
20%
Starowice Dolne
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Legnica II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Legnica II picked up more points recently compared to Starowice Dolne.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Legnica II Clean Sheet 22%
Starowice Dolne Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnica II Starowice Dolne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Legnica II vs Starowice Dolne
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Legnica II
0:1
May 6, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Legnica II
0:0
Oct 5, 2019 III Liga - Group III
Legnica II vs Starowice Dolne
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnica II Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbut S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jozefiak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Starowice Dolne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnica II 58 / 100
Starowice Dolne 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnica II Starowice Dolne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnica II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Legnica II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Legnica II attacking → ← attacking Starowice Dolne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnica II scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Starowice Dolne let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Legnica II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Starowice Dolne lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 24
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057