Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legnica II vs Warta Gorzow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Herbut S.
44' Event
Herbut S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Legnica II and Warta Gorzow finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legnica II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Legnica II
35%
Draws
35%
Warta Gorzow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legnica II come out ahead of Warta Gorzow on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Legnica II Clean Sheet 16%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnica II Warta Gorzow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.28 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Legnica II vs Warta Gorzow
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Legnica II
1:0
Apr 25, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Legnica II vs Warta Gorzow
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Legnica II
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Legnica II vs Warta Gorzow
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnica II Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbut S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Warta Gorzow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnica II 30 / 100
Warta Gorzow 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnica II Warta Gorzow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnica II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnica II scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Warta Gorzow conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Legnica II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legnica II VS Warta Gorzow
2 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnica II

(Home)
05 Sept
Brzeg
2 : 4
Legnica II
28 Aug
Legnica II
2 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
22 Aug
Zaglebie II
3 : 2
Legnica II
19 Aug
Legnica II
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
14 Aug
Polkowice
3 : 3
Legnica II
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Warta Gorzow

(Away)
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
29 Aug
Warta Gorzow
0 : 2
Zaglebie II
22 Aug
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Warta Gorzow
19 Aug
Warta Gorzow
0 : 0
Polkowice
15 Aug
Barycz Sulow
2 : 2
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zielona Gora 34 21 10 3 77:17 73
2 Polkowice 34 20 7 7 64:42 67
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 34 18 8 8 53:34 62
4 Skra Czestochowa 34 17 8 9 68:56 59
5 Zaglebie II 34 17 6 11 77:61 57
6 Goczalkowice Zdroj 34 15 9 10 49:46 54
7 Kluczbork 34 15 7 12 67:43 52
8 Warta Gorzow 34 15 7 12 54:47 52
9 Gornik Zabrze II 34 15 6 13 73:44 51
10 Sleza Wroclaw 34 14 7 13 49:57 49
11 Woliborz 34 13 9 12 48:49 48
12 Carina Gubin 34 12 11 11 50:51 47
13 Legnica II 34 13 7 14 63:58 46
14 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 34 12 9 13 57:56 45
15 Polonia Nysa 34 9 10 15 51:58 37
16 Starowice Dolne 34 7 6 21 33:81 27
17 Pniowek Pawlowice 34 5 4 25 28:77 19
18 Stal Jasien 34 2 1 31 21:105 7
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)