Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legnica vs Ruch Chorzow

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Nagamatsu S.
12' Event
Drygas K.
Own Goal
21'
Ventura D.

AI Match Summary

Ruch Chorzow in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ruch Chorzow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Legnica
39%
Draws
30%
Ruch Chorzow
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ruch Chorzow lately — more wins on the board than Legnica.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Legnica Clean Sheet 13%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnica Ruch Chorzow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Division 1
Legnica vs Ruch Chorzow
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Legnica
3:1
Apr 10, 2025 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Legnica
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Division 1
Legnica vs Ruch Chorzow
3:0
Apr 28, 2018 Division 1
Legnica vs Ruch Chorzow
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnica Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonik K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ruch Chorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnica 31 / 100
Ruch Chorzow 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnica Ruch Chorzow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Legnica found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Ruch Chorzow let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Legnica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legnica VS Ruch Chorzow
1 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnica

(Home)
18 Jul
Legnica
3 : 2
Chojniczanka
11 Jul
Legnica
2 : 1
Ostrava
08 Jul
Piast Gliwice
2 : 2
Legnica
04 Jul
Zielona Gora
3 : 1
Legnica
04 Jul
Legnica
1 : 0
Swit Szczecin
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Ruch Chorzow

(Away)
18 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Ruch Chorzow
10 Jul
KS Wieczysta Krakow
2 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
04 Jul
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw II
27 Jun
Unia Oswiecim
0 : 6
Ruch Chorzow
24 May
Pruszkow
3 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423
Promotion - Ekstraklasa (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Main)