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Legnica vs Arka Gdynia Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Antonik K.
Assist: Cordoba A.
30'
Kun D.
37'
Petrovic Z.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Legnica and Arka Gdynia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legnica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Legnica
20%
Draws
70%
Arka Gdynia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arka Gdynia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legnica come out ahead of Arka Gdynia on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Arka Gdynia taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Arka Gdynia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Legnica Clean Sheet 20%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnica Arka Gdynia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Division 1
Legnica vs Arka Gdynia
2:0
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Legnica
5:0
Mar 30, 2025 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Legnica
2:0
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Legnica vs Arka Gdynia
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Division 1
Legnica vs Arka Gdynia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnica Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonik K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Arka Gdynia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnica 28 / 100
Arka Gdynia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnica Arka Gdynia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arka Gdynia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnica found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Arka Gdynia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Legnica remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legnica VS Arka Gdynia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnica

(Home)
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Legnica
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
05 Sept
Legnica
1 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
02 Sept
Legnica
0 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
Page 1 of 6

Arka Gdynia

(Away)
03 Oct
Arka Gdynia
3 : 2
IFK Goteborg
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
02 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 4
Arka Gdynia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)