Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mansfeld M.
17'
Kwiecien B.
20'
Pik D.

AI Match Summary

Legnica in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Legnica
11%
Draws
9%
Pogon Siedlce
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Legnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Legnica have won more games recently than Pogon Siedlce.
  • Win probability leans Legnica's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Legnica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Legnica, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Legnica Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnica Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Legnica
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 Polish Cup
Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce
2:0
May 10, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Legnica
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Division 1
Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnica Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansfeld M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonik K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnica 76 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnica Pogon Siedlce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Legnica scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Pogon Siedlce let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Solid form: Legnica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legnica VS Pogon Siedlce
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnica

(Home)
18 Jul
Legnica
3 : 2
Chojniczanka
11 Jul
Legnica
2 : 1
Ostrava
08 Jul
Piast Gliwice
2 : 2
Legnica
04 Jul
Zielona Gora
3 : 1
Legnica
04 Jul
Legnica
1 : 0
Swit Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Siedlce

(Away)
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
27 Jun
Pogon Siedlce
0 : 3
Unia Skierniewice
24 May
Wisla
2 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zawisza-
TBD-
TBD-
Tychy-
GKS Wikielec-
TBD-
Podbeskidzie2
R. Rzeszow1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg-
TBD-
Hutnik Krakow3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0
Bytom Odrzanski-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla-
Beskid Andrychow-
TBD-
Chojniczanka2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1
Legnica II-
TBD-
Swit Szczecin2
LKS Lodz II1
Malapanew Ozimek-
TBD-
TBD-
Pruszkow-
S. Rzeszow-
TBD-
TBD-
Korona Kielce-
LKS Lomza-
TBD-
TBD-
Odra Opole-
Korona Kielce II-
TBD-
TBD-
Piast Gliwice-
Gryf Slupsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Polonia Warszawa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec-
TBD-
TBD-
Puszcza-
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3
Wisla Pulawy0
TBD-
Lechia Gdansk-
Arka Gdynia-
TBD-
TBD-
Motor Lublin-
Legia II-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Avia Swidnik-
TBD-
TBD-
Ruch Chorzow-
Swinoujscie-
TBD-
KKS Kalisz0
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II-
TBD-
Stal Stalowa Wola3
Skra Czestochowa1
Warta Poznan1
Olimpia Elblag0
Polonia Bytom7
Zaglebie II1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol-
TBD-
KS Wieczysta Krakow0
Ol. Grudziadz1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki-
TBD-
TBD-
Slask Wroclaw-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leczna-
TBD-
TBD-
Cracovia-
LKS Lodz-
TBD-
TBD-
Chrobry Glogow-
GKS Katowice-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla Plock-
Legnica-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Siedlce-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Szczecin-
Termalica Bruk-Bet-
TBD-
TBD-
Widzew Lodz-
Radomiak Radom-
TBD-
TBD-
Zaglebie-
1/32-finals
Zawisza2
Tychy0
GKS Wikielec2
Podbeskidzie1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg0
Hutnik Krakow1
Bytom Odrzanski0
Wisla1
Beskid Andrychow0
Chojniczanka3
Legnica II1
Swit Szczecin3
Malapanew Ozimek1
Pruszkow2
S. Rzeszow0
Korona Kielce1
LKS Lomza0
Odra Opole2
Korona Kielce II0
Piast Gliwice1
Gryf Slupsk1
Polonia Warszawa0
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec1
Puszcza2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki0
Lechia Gdansk1
Arka Gdynia1
Motor Lublin0
Legia II0
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik3
Ruch Chorzow1
Swinoujscie3
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II3
Stal Stalowa Wola1
Warta Poznan0
Polonia Bytom1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1
Ol. Grudziadz3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki1
Slask Wroclaw2
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
Leczna1
Cracovia5
LKS Lodz5
Chrobry Glogow3
GKS Katowice4
Wisla Plock2
Legnica2
Pogon Siedlce0
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg0
Pogon Szczecin3
Termalica Bruk-Bet2
Widzew Lodz3
Radomiak Radom0
Zaglebie2
1/16-finals
Zawisza3
GKS Wikielec0
Hutnik Krakow0
Wisla1
Chojniczanka3
Swit Szczecin1
Pruszkow0
Korona Kielce3
Odra Opole0
Piast Gliwice2
Gryf Slupsk1
Lech Poznan2
Puszcza1
Lechia Gdansk3
Arka Gdynia1
Gornik Zabrze2
Avia Swidnik3
Swinoujscie0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II0
Polonia Bytom7
Ol. Grudziadz0
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa3
Cracovia0
LKS Lodz1
GKS Katowice2
Legnica2
Jagiellonia3
Legia1
Pogon Szczecin2
Widzew Lodz1
Zaglebie0
1/8-finals
Zawisza4
Wisla1
Chojniczanka2
Korona Kielce1
Piast Gliwice0
Lech Poznan2
Lechia Gdansk1
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik4
Polonia Bytom2
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice3
Jagiellonia1
Pogon Szczecin0
Widzew Lodz1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza2
Chojniczanka1
Lech Poznan0
Gornik Zabrze1
Avia Swidnik1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice2
Widzew Lodz1
Semi-finals
Zawisza0
Gornik Zabrze1
Rakow Czestochowa5
GKS Katowice4
Final
Gornik Zabrze2
Rakow Czestochowa0