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Legnica vs Stal Mielec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legnica host Stal Mielec in the Division 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Stal Mielec have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Legnica have conceded 1.23 and scored 1.23. Past meetings favor Legnica slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.44, favoring Legnica. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Legnica
20%
Draws
40%
Stal Mielec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Stal Mielec haven't matched Legnica's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Legnica's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Legnica Clean Sheet 16%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnica Stal Mielec
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 1
Legnica vs Stal Mielec
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Legnica
1:2
Apr 17, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Stal Mielec vs Legnica
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Legnica vs Stal Mielec
0:2
Jun 2, 2020 Division 1
Legnica vs Stal Mielec
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnica 75 / 100
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnica Stal Mielec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Legnica scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Stal Mielec has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legnica VS Stal Mielec
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnica

(Home)
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Legnica
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
05 Sept
Legnica
1 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
02 Sept
Legnica
0 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
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Stal Mielec

(Away)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)