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Leicester U21 vs Arsenal U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 LCFC Training Ground, Seagrave
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leicester U21 host Arsenal U21 in the Premier League 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Leicester U21 have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Arsenal U21's 1.37 scored and 1.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Arsenal U21 slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 1:5. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.69) point toward Arsenal U21. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Leicester U21
35%
Draws
39%
Arsenal U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arsenal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Leicester U21's 1.83 goals per match outpaces what Arsenal U21 have produced (1.37).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Leicester U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Arsenal U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester U21 Arsenal U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Leicester U21
1:5
Aug 18, 2023 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Leicester U21
4:1
Jan 13, 2023 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Leicester U21
2:1
Oct 24, 2022 Premier League 2
Leicester U21 vs Arsenal U21
1:2
Apr 14, 2014 Premier League U21
Arsenal U21 vs Leicester U21
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester U21 31 / 100
Arsenal U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester U21 Arsenal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Leicester U21 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Arsenal U21 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Leicester U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leicester U21 VS Arsenal U21
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester U21

(Home)
13 Oct
Woking
3 : 2
Leicester U21
09 Oct
Cardiff U21
1 : 3
Leicester U21
30 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 4
Real Sociedad B
18 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 0
West Ham U21
11 Sept
Brighton U21
3 : 0
Leicester U21
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal U21

(Away)
10 Oct
Arsenal U21
2 : 2
Sunderland U21
18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0
Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2
Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4
Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Sunderland U21 5 3 1 1 15:11 10
4 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
5 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 13:8 9
6 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
7 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
12 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
15 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Arsenal U21 5 0 4 1 6:9 4
22 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
23 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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