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Leicester vs Northampton

World World

Club Friendly LCFC Training Ground, Seagrave
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mavididi S.
Assist: Otchere K.
17' Event
Alves W.
Assist: Page L.
22' Event
Alves W.
Assist: Otchere K.

AI Match Summary

Leicester in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leicester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Leicester
30%
Draws
31%
Northampton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leicester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • Northampton haven't matched Leicester's recent run of results.
  • Leicester are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Leicester have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Leicester Clean Sheet 20%
Northampton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester Northampton
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Leicester vs Northampton
1:0
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Leicester vs Northampton
3:0
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Northampton vs Leicester
0:1
Jul 30, 2013 Club Friendly
Northampton vs Leicester
2:1
Jan 31, 2009 League One
Northampton vs Leicester
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mavididi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Northampton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester 36 / 100
Northampton 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester Northampton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northampton let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Leicester scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Leicester remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leicester VS Northampton
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester

(Home)
01 Aug
Leicester
0 : 1
Genoa
25 Jul
Malaga
3 : 3
Leicester
22 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1
Leicester
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3
Leicester
14 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Leicester
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Northampton

(Away)
01 Aug
Solihull Moors
2 : 4
Northampton
28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0
Northampton
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3
Northampton
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0
Coventry
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0
Northampton
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