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Leicester vs Stevenage - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One King Power Stadium, Leicester
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Braybrooke S.
Assist: Alves W.
22' Event
Broggio B.
Assist: Magennis J.
30'
Earley S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Leicester
20%
Draws
33%
Stevenage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leicester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stevenage lately — more wins on the board than Leicester.
  • Win probability leans Leicester's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Leicester Clean Sheet 13%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester Stevenage
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 League One
Leicester vs Stevenage
2:2
Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy
Stevenage vs Leicester
2:1
Nov 8, 2008 FA Cup
Leicester vs Stevenage
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester Compare

Top Goalscorer Braybrooke S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doyle K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stevenage Compare

Top Goalscorer Broggio B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turhan T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester 75 / 100
Stevenage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leicester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Stevenage let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Leicester has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leicester VS Stevenage
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester

(Home)
31 Oct
Leicester
2 : 2
Stevenage
27 Oct
Leicester
3 : 0
Wigan
24 Oct
Luton
2 : 1
Leicester
20 Oct
Bromley
0 : 4
Leicester
17 Oct
Leicester
2 : 1
Doncaster
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Stevenage

(Away)
31 Oct
Leicester
2 : 2
Stevenage
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0
Plymouth
17 Oct
Bradford City
2 : 0
Stevenage
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0
Wigan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 14 8 5 1 28:12 29
2 Stockport County 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
3 Oxford Utd 13 7 5 1 22:11 26
4 Luton 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
5 Plymouth 14 7 2 5 21:19 23
6 Reading 14 6 4 4 25:15 22
7 Bradford City 13 6 4 3 10:8 22
8 Cambridge Utd 14 5 6 3 21:21 21
9 Sheffield Wed 13 5 5 3 22:14 20
10 Leicester 13 5 4 4 22:19 19
11 Mansfield 13 5 4 4 20:18 19
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13 4 6 3 22:20 18
13 Wycombe 13 4 6 3 21:23 18
14 Leyton Orient 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
15 Burton 14 4 5 5 18:21 17
16 Stevenage 12 4 4 4 17:13 16
17 Notts County 12 3 5 4 13:14 14
18 AFC Wimbledon 13 3 4 6 9:21 13
19 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 17:21 12
20 Doncaster 13 3 3 7 14:22 12
21 Wigan 14 3 2 9 11:22 11
22 Peterborough 13 2 4 7 11:23 10
23 Barnsley 12 2 3 7 12:22 9
24 Bromley 13 2 3 8 13:33 9
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)