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Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leiknir Reykjavik play Fylkir in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leiknir Reykjavik averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Fylkir averaged 2.48 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Leiknir Reykjavik won 3, Fylkir won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 27, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.56 for Fylkir. This points to a Fylkir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Leiknir Reykjavik
15%
Draws
51%
Fylkir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fylkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Leiknir Reykjavik picked up more points recently compared to Fylkir.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 15%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiknir Reykjavik Fylkir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 21
Draws 7 1
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.45 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Division 1
Fylkir vs Leiknir Reykjavik
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 League Cup
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir
0:3
Aug 13, 2025 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir
1:0
Jun 4, 2025 Division 1
Fylkir vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:2
Jan 29, 2024 Reykjavik Cup
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiknir Reykjavik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Leosson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ottesen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiknir Reykjavik 34 / 100
Fylkir 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiknir Reykjavik Fylkir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fylkir or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leiknir Reykjavik attacking → ← attacking Fylkir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiknir Reykjavik scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Fylkir let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Leiknir Reykjavik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fylkir lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 64
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103