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Leioa vs Oiartzun

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
Leioa Logo

Leioa

2 - 2
FT
Oiartzun Logo

Oiartzun

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leioa
35%
Draws
36%
Oiartzun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oiartzun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Leioa have won more games recently than Oiartzun.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Leioa Clean Sheet 20%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leioa Oiartzun
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 18 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.42 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Oiartzun
2:2
Sep 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Leioa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leioa 36 / 100
Oiartzun 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leioa Oiartzun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oiartzun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leioa's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Oiartzun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Leioa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leioa VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leioa

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
Page 1 of 8

Oiartzun

(Away)
16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2
Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0
Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0
Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1
Balmaseda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leioa 38 24 9 5 62:34 81
2 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 67:38 70
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 9 9 67:39 69
4 Basconia 38 19 10 9 77:49 67
5 Alaves B 38 17 11 10 54:33 62
6 Zalla UC 38 16 12 10 55:45 60
7 Gernika Club 38 15 14 9 43:29 59
8 Zamudio 38 15 11 12 64:48 56
9 Balmaseda 38 14 13 11 45:40 55
10 Beasain 38 14 10 14 45:59 52
11 Santutxu FC 38 9 21 8 37:40 48
12 SCD Durango 38 13 9 16 52:57 48
13 Pasaia 38 12 10 16 39:48 46
14 Lagun Onak 38 12 9 17 34:46 45
15 Oiartzun 38 11 11 16 40:61 44
16 Amurrio Club 38 11 9 18 31:45 42
17 Bermeo 38 9 12 17 37:46 39
18 Elgoibar 38 7 14 17 26:48 35
19 Sodupe 38 5 10 23 36:65 25
20 Retuerto Sport 38 5 10 23 21:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)