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Leioa vs Portugalete

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Barrera A.
79' Event
Etxebarria E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Leioa and Portugalete finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Leioa
35%
Draws
48%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portugalete come out ahead of Leioa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Portugalete's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Leioa Clean Sheet 11%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leioa Portugalete
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.34 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Leioa vs Portugalete
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Portugalete
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Leioa
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Portugalete
2:3
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Leioa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leioa Compare

Top Goalscorer Etxebarria E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Portugalete Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leioa 10 / 100
Portugalete 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leioa Portugalete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugalete Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leioa found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leioa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Portugalete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leioa VS Portugalete
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leioa

(Home)
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
19 Aug
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
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Portugalete

(Away)
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
19 Aug
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0
Barakaldo
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