Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leioa vs Zarautz KE

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leioa in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leioa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Leioa
35%
Draws
26%
Zarautz KE
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leioa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leioa lately — more wins on the board than Zarautz KE.
  • Leioa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leioa Clean Sheet 20%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leioa Zarautz KE
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Zarautz KE
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Leioa
1:1
Mar 3, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Zarautz KE
2:0
Oct 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Leioa
0:4
Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Zarautz KE
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leioa 42 / 100
Zarautz KE 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leioa Zarautz KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leioa found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Zarautz KE conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Leioa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leioa VS Zarautz KE
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leioa

(Home)
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

Zarautz KE

(Away)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laudio 38 24 5 9 70:24 77
2 Barakaldo 38 22 10 6 58:29 76
3 Portugalete 38 21 11 6 60:29 74
4 Beasain 38 20 12 6 58:34 72
5 Zalla UC 38 20 12 6 57:34 72
6 Gernika Club 38 18 10 10 50:37 64
7 SCD Durango 38 18 9 11 49:41 63
8 Leioa 38 12 19 7 45:37 55
9 Zamudio 38 14 12 12 42:43 54
10 Basconia 38 13 8 17 67:67 47
11 Lagun Onak 38 10 16 12 29:31 46
12 Elgoibar 38 12 9 17 41:49 45
13 Eibar B 38 10 14 14 36:46 44
14 Arenas Getxo 38 11 10 17 45:46 43
15 Santutxu FC 38 9 13 16 36:56 40
16 Balmaseda 38 8 16 14 48:57 40
17 Alaves B 38 11 7 20 49:71 40
18 CD Vitoria 38 6 13 19 43:66 31
19 Hernani 38 6 8 24 31:71 26
20 Zarautz KE 38 4 8 26 28:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)