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Leiria U19 vs Belenenses U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leiria U19 play Belenenses U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leiria U19 averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Belenenses U19 averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Leiria U19 won 2, Belenenses U19 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 20, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Leiria U19 and 1.25 for Belenenses U19. This points to a Leiria U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Leiria U19
29%
Draws
29%
Belenenses U19
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Leiria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Leiria U19 picked up more points recently compared to Belenenses U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Belenenses U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U19 Belenenses U19
Matches Played 34 47
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.59 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Leiria U19
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Belenenses U19
3:0
Apr 16, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Belenenses U19
2:0
Feb 19, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Leiria U19
2:2
Nov 27, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Leiria U19
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U19 42 / 100
Belenenses U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U19 Belenenses U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leiria U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leiria U19 attacking → ← attacking Belenenses U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria U19 scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Belenenses U19 let in goals in 68% of their last 47 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leiria U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Belenenses U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 54
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25