Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Balde A.
22'
22'
Vieira S.
28'
28'
Naumenko M.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Leiria U19 and Mafra U19 finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiria U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mafra U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Mafra U19 haven't matched Leiria U19's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Leiria U19's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiria U19 | Mafra U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Mafra U19
6:3
Sep 27, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Leiria U19
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leiria U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Vieira S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Naumenko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Mafra U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Balde A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Tubarao J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leiria U19 41 / 100
Mafra U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leiria U19 Mafra U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mafra U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 7.50 goals.
Leiria U19's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Leiria U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leiria U19 VS Mafra U19
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Leiria U19
(Home) 12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2 Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2 Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0 Leiria U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2 Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2 Santa Clara U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
16 May
Leiria U19
6 : 0 Gil Vicente U19
02 May
Leiria U19
2 : 1 FC Porto U19
Page 1 of 3
Mafra U19
(Away) 12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0 Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2 Mafra U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
08 Aug
Mafra U19
0 : 1 Oriental U19
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0 Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2 Mafra U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
11 Apr
Alverca U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
04 Apr
Torreense U19
1 : 0 Mafra U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
