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Leiria U19 vs Sacavenense U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 14, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leiria U19 host Sacavenense U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Sacavenense U19 have shipped 2.27 goals a game lately, while Leiria U19 have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.47. Past meetings favor Leiria U19 slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2022, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.56, favoring Leiria U19. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Leiria U19
35%
Draws
46%
Sacavenense U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sacavenense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leiria U19 lately — more wins on the board than Sacavenense U19.
  • Win probability leans Sacavenense U19's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 15%
Sacavenense U19 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U19 Sacavenense U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.47 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Leiria U19
2:3
Feb 12, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sacavenense U19
1:1
Jan 15, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Leiria U19
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sacavenense U19
1:2
May 16, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Leiria U19
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U19 27 / 100
Sacavenense U19 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U19 Sacavenense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sacavenense U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sacavenense U19 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Leiria U19's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Leiria U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U19 VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
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Sacavenense U19

(Away)
21 May
Vilafranquense U19
1 : 1
Sacavenense U19
14 May
Sacavenense U19
0 : 1
Belenenses U19
07 May
Sacavenense U19
1 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
30 Apr
Amora U19
1 : 2
Sacavenense U19
23 Apr
Sacavenense U19
1 : 2
Nacional U19
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