Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leiria U19 vs Santa Clara U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ryan P.
47' Event
Guerra A.
88' Event
Santos S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 game between Leiria U19 and Santa Clara U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Clara U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Leiria U19
20%
Draws
65%
Santa Clara U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Clara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Clara U19 have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — Leiria U19 are scoring more at 1.45.
  • Win probability leans Leiria U19's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Santa Clara U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U19 Santa Clara U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Santa Clara U19
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Santa Clara U19
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Santa Clara U19 vs Leiria U19
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Santa Clara U19
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Santa Clara U19 vs Leiria U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Santa Clara U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U19 57 / 100
Santa Clara U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U19 Santa Clara U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria U19 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Santa Clara U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Leiria U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U19 VS Santa Clara U19
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
Page 1 of 7

Santa Clara U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Oriental U19
2 : 1
Santa Clara U19
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
15 Aug
Casa Pia U19
2 : 0
Santa Clara U19
16 May
Santa Clara U19
2 : 1
Rio Ave U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
2 Gil Vicente U19 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
3 Braga U19 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
5 Feirense U19 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
6 Rio Ave U19 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
7 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
8 Famalicao U19 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
9 Academico Viseu U19 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
10 Vizela U19 5 1 0 4 5:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
4 Mafra U19 6 2 2 2 6:12 8
5 Torreense U19 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
6 Santa Clara U19 4 2 0 2 10:5 6
7 Casa Pia U19 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 SC Farense U19 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
9 Leiria U19 6 0 3 3 5:13 3
10 Alverca U19 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)