Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Antonio E.
90' Event
Almeida M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Leiria U19
30%
Draws
61%
Sporting CP U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Sporting CP U19 have won more games recently than Leiria U19.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Sporting CP U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U19 Sporting CP U19
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.68 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Leiria U19
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Leiria U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U19 10 / 100
Sporting CP U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U19 Sporting CP U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leiria U19 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Sporting CP U19 let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Leiria U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U19 VS Sporting CP U19
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
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Sporting CP U19

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Oriental U19
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