Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leiria U23 vs SC Farense U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23 Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Nsumbu M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Revelacao U23 game between Leiria U23 and SC Farense U23 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Farense U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Leiria U23
28%
Draws
22%
SC Farense U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Leiria U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Farense U23 come out ahead of Leiria U23 on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Leiria U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Leiria U23 Clean Sheet 68%
SC Farense U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U23 SC Farense U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Liga Revelacao U23
Leiria U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:0
Feb 24, 2026 Liga Revelacao U23
SC Farense U23 vs Leiria U23
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Leiria U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:1
Sep 30, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
SC Farense U23 vs Leiria U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiria U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SC Farense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsumbu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U23 59 / 100
SC Farense U23 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U23 SC Farense U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Leiria U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Leiria U23's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

SC Farense U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U23 VS SC Farense U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academico Viseu U231475229:1626
2Leixoes U231467128:1725
3Braga U231465324:2223
4Famalicao U231472530:1923
5Gil Vicente U231445517:1817
6Rio Ave U231443719:2515
7Vizela U231442816:2714
8Maritimo U231423913:329
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica U2316112327:1535
2Santa Clara U2316101521:1431
3Torreense U2316100625:1630
4Sporting CP U231683528:1427
5SC Farense U231681719:1825
6Leiria U231645717:2317
7Estrela da Amadora U231635817:2814
8Portimonense U2316511013:2313
9Estoril U231616915:319