Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Leiria host AFS in the Liga Portugal 2. This one's hard to separate. AFS have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Leiria have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor AFS slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2024, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.06) back AFS to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Leiria lately — more wins on the board than AFS.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiria | AFS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Leiria scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Leiria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
AFS has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Leiria
(Home)AFS
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 5 | SC Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | AFS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 12 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
