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Leiria vs Benfica B Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Moreira G.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Munoz J.
Assist: Fernandez P.
46'
Sub
Ntanda S. In: Silva J.
Out: Ntanda S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between Leiria and Benfica B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Leiria
20%
Draws
28%
Benfica B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leiria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Benfica B have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Leiria are scoring more at 1.66.
  • Win probability leans Leiria's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Leiria Clean Sheet 17%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria Benfica B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Benfica B
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Leiria
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Benfica B
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Benfica B
1:3
Dec 7, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Leiria
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiria Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Benfica B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria 57 / 100
Benfica B 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria Benfica B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Leiria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Leiria scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Benfica B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leiria VS Benfica B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria

(Home)
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

Benfica B

(Away)
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
5 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
6 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
7 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
9 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
10 SC Farense 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)