Sport Picks
Leiria vs Cova De Piedade Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga 3 2021/2022 Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria 
Match Events
2'
2'
Gregorio G.
4'
4'
Sylla H.
27'
27'
Antunes L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2021/2022 game between Leiria and Cova De Piedade finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leiria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Leiria carry the better recent record into this one.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Leiria taking it.
- Regular Liga 3 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Leiria Clean Sheet 20%
Cova De Piedade Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiria | Cova De Piedade |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 7, 2022 Liga 3
Leiria vs Cova De Piedade
4:0
Aug 29, 2021 Liga 3
Cova De Piedade vs Leiria
1:3
Apr 24, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Leiria vs Cova De Piedade
1:1
Mar 6, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cova De Piedade vs Leiria
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leiria Compare
Top Goalscorer Gregorio G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sylla H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Cova De Piedade Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leiria 58 / 100
Cova De Piedade 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leiria Cova De Piedade
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leiria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leiria found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Cova De Piedade let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Leiria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Leiria VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Leiria
(Home) 19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2 Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2 Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0 Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0 Tondela
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2 Benfica B
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0 AD Marco 09
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1 Alverca
Page 1 of 4
Cova De Piedade
(Away) 01 May
Cova De Piedade
0 : 1 Amora
23 Apr
Santarem
1 : 1 Cova De Piedade
17 Apr
Cova De Piedade
1 : 1 Caldas SC
09 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Cova De Piedade
03 Apr
Cova De Piedade
2 : 0 Santarem
Page 1 of 6
23 Apr
Santarem
1 : 1 Cova De Piedade
09 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Cova De Piedade
19 Mar
Caldas SC
1 : 1 Cova De Piedade
05 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 1 Cova De Piedade
19 Feb
Torreense
2 : 1 Cova De Piedade
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Felgueiras | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 25:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Oliveirense | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39:31 | 38 |
| 3 | Braga B | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37:29 | 37 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33:25 | 36 |
| 5 | Canelas 2010 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 28:25 | 36 |
| 6 | Sanjoanense | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Lusitania FC | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 31:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Sao Joao de Ver | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Anadia | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 24:28 | 29 |
| 10 | CDC Montalegre | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25:33 | 24 |
| 11 | AD Fafe | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 28:41 | 23 |
| 12 | Pevidem | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:38 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leiria | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:18 | 48 |
| 2 | Alverca | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 32:24 | 41 |
| 3 | Torreense | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29:23 | 41 |
| 4 | Vitoria Setubal | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 37 |
| 5 | Amora | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 29:21 | 36 |
| 6 | Real SC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:26 | 28 |
| 7 | Caldas SC | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 8 | Sporting CP B | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25:28 | 26 |
| 9 | Cova De Piedade | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24:35 | 22 |
| 10 | Oliveira Hospital | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 24:34 | 20 |
| 11 | Santarem | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23:35 | 18 |
| 12 | Oriental Dragon | 22 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 21:30 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)
