Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leiria vs Macao Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Leiria Logo

Leiria

3 - 0
FT
Macao Logo

Macao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 game between Leiria and Macao finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Leiria
15%
Draws
16%
Macao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Leiria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leiria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Leiria Clean Sheet 68%
Macao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria Macao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.7 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Leiria vs Macao
3:0
Aug 19, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Macao vs Leiria
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria 95 / 100
Macao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria Macao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leiria scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Macao has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Leiria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leiria VS Macao
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria

(Home)
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

Macao

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
30 Aug
Macao
5 : 0
CF Os Gavionenses
12 May
Sintrense
5 : 0
Macao
05 May
Macao
0 : 1
Caldas SC
28 Apr
Santa Iria
3 : 1
Macao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 34 24 3 7 59:24 75
2 Vilafranquense 34 21 9 4 56:22 72
3 Anadia 34 20 11 3 52:23 71
4 SB Castelo Branco 34 17 11 6 45:23 62
5 Sintrense 34 15 9 10 49:41 54
6 Oliveira Hospital 34 13 13 8 42:27 52
7 Alverca 34 14 9 11 39:33 51
8 Caldas SC 34 12 10 12 37:38 46
9 Oleiros 34 11 12 11 38:44 45
10 Torreense 34 11 11 12 36:36 44
11 Fatima 34 12 7 15 38:46 43
12 GS Loures 34 11 8 15 33:31 41
13 Sertanense 34 8 17 9 32:36 41
14 Nogueirense 34 11 8 15 32:39 41
15 Santa Iria 34 9 8 17 35:55 35
16 Alcains 34 5 8 21 21:48 23
17 GD Peniche 34 5 8 21 22:51 23
18 Macao 34 3 6 25 20:69 15
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)