Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Clemons W.
45'
45'
Sayer H.
65'
65'
Baker T.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central game between Leiston and Stortford finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiston.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leiston come out ahead of Stortford on wins alone.
- 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%
Stortford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiston | Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Stortford
3:1
Nov 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Stortford
0:1
Sep 9, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Leiston
0:1
Dec 21, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Leiston
1:2
Aug 13, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Stortford
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leiston Compare
Top Goalscorer Clemons W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sayer H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Stortford Compare
Top Goalscorer Baker T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leiston 34 / 100
Stortford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leiston Stortford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stortford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stortford has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Leiston scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Stortford's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Leiston VS Stortford
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Leiston
(Home) 31 Oct
Leiston
1 : 3 Alvechurch
27 Oct
Peterborough Sports
2 : 5 Leiston
20 Oct
Kettering
4 : 0 Leiston
17 Oct
Leiston
0 : 3 Guiseley
10 Oct
Racing Club Warwick
0 : 0 Leiston
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Leiston
1 : 3 Alvechurch
17 Oct
Leiston
0 : 3 Guiseley
03 Oct
Leiston
3 : 1 Coventry United
26 Sept
Leiston
0 : 3 Dartford
22 Sept
Leiston
0 : 2 Peterborough Sports
Page 1 of 3
Stortford
(Away) 31 Oct
Anstey Nomads
4 : 1 Stortford
27 Oct
Stortford
0 : 1 Stamford
24 Oct
Stortford
3 : 1 Real Bedford
20 Oct
Needham Market
2 : 1 Stortford
17 Oct
Stortford
2 : 4 Racing Club Warwick
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Anstey Nomads
4 : 1 Stortford
20 Oct
Needham Market
2 : 1 Stortford
10 Oct
Redditch
3 : 1 Stortford
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2 Stortford
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3 Stortford
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 40:22 | 35 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28:25 | 32 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28:14 | 31 |
| 4 | Kettering | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Rushall | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 32:25 | 27 |
| 6 | Alvechurch | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27:13 | 26 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 31:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 32:23 | 25 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 27:21 | 23 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:18 | 23 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 22 |
| 12 | Racing Club Warwick | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 13 | Redditch | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Stratford | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21:27 | 16 |
| 15 | Leiston | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:26 | 15 |
| 16 | Banbury | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:28 | 14 |
| 17 | Worcester | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 18 | Hitchin | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 19 | Stortford | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18:28 | 13 |
| 20 | Leamington | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 21:30 | 10 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15:32 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
