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Leixlip United vs Sheriff YC

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leixlip United play Sheriff YC in the FAI Cup 2013. Sheriff YC are favorites here. Recently, Leixlip United averaged 1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Sheriff YC averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Leixlip United won 0, Sheriff YC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2013 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Leixlip United and 1.88 for Sheriff YC. This points to a Sheriff YC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Leixlip United
15%
Draws
71%
Sheriff YC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheriff YC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Leixlip United picked up more points recently compared to Sheriff YC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Leixlip United Clean Sheet 10%
Sheriff YC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leixlip United Sheriff YC
Matches Played 4 16
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 1
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2013 FAI Cup
Leixlip United vs Sheriff YC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leixlip United Compare

Top Goalscorer Markey E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sheriff YC Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dunne K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leixlip United 15 / 100
Sheriff YC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leixlip United Sheriff YC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff YC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sheriff YC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leixlip United attacking → ← attacking Sheriff YC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leixlip United scored in 100% of their last 4 games.

Sheriff YC let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Leixlip United went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sheriff YC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 22
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00