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Leixoes vs BSAD Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Montez A.
43'
Wakaso A.
53'
Morais T.

AI Match Summary

BSAD in this Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored BSAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Leixoes
35%
Draws
24%
BSAD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leixoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leixoes lately — more wins on the board than BSAD.
  • Win probability leans Leixoes's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BSAD have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 68%
BSAD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leixoes BSAD
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs BSAD
0:2
Dec 29, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Leixoes
2:0
Jan 27, 2016 League Cup
BSAD vs Leixoes
4:0
Mar 17, 2013 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Leixoes
2:1
Oct 27, 2012 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs BSAD
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leixoes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

BSAD Compare

Top Goalscorer John K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leixoes 68 / 100
BSAD 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leixoes BSAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leixoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leixoes found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

BSAD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Leixoes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leixoes VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leixoes

(Home)
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
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BSAD

(Away)
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1
BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1
Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2
Mafra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)