Sport Picks
Leixoes vs Lusitania FC Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos 
Match Events
17'
17'
Ribeiro M.
20'
20'
Sub
Tiago Dias In: Vitor Hugo
Out: Tiago Dias
27'
27'
Alhassan I.
AI Match Summary
Leixoes in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leixoes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lusitania FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Leixoes have won more games recently than Lusitania FC.
- Model gives Leixoes a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 17%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leixoes | Lusitania FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Lusitania FC
2:1
Jan 8, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Leixoes
2:2
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Lusitania FC vs Leixoes
2:2
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Lusitania FC vs Leixoes
1:2
Aug 5, 2018 Club Friendly
Lusitania FC vs Leixoes
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leixoes Compare
Top Goalscorer Rochez B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Lusitania FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leixoes 41 / 100
Lusitania FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leixoes Lusitania FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leixoes scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Lusitania FC has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.
Leixoes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leixoes VS Lusitania FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Leixoes
(Home) 20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4 Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0 Tondela
01 Aug
Leixoes
6 : 2 Casa Pia
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2 Vizela
Page 1 of 3
Lusitania FC
(Away) 20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Lusitania FC
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2 Lusitania FC
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1 AFS
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2 Lusitania FC
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2 Torreense
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Lusitania FC
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2 Lusitania FC
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2 Lusitania FC
16 Aug
Amarante FC
0 : 1 Lusitania FC
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2 Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
