Sport Picks
Leixoes vs Portimonense Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos 
Match Events
43'
43'
Mateus Sarara
58'
58'
Sub
Pancadas Casimiro J. D. In: Welinton Junior
Out: Pancadas Casimiro J. D.
62'
62'
Sub
Ferreira de Sousa M. In: Araujo C.
Out: Ferreira de Sousa M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Leixoes and Portimonense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leixoes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leixoes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leixoes carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Leixoes taking it.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Leixoes have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 68%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leixoes | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Leixoes
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Portimonense
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Leixoes
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Leixoes
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Portimonense
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leixoes Compare
Top Goalscorer Luccas Paraizo
1 Goals Assists Leader Bica J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Portimonense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leixoes 95 / 100
Portimonense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leixoes Portimonense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leixoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Leixoes scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Portimonense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Leixoes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leixoes VS Portimonense
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Leixoes
(Home) 20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4 Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0 Tondela
01 Aug
Leixoes
6 : 2 Casa Pia
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2 Vizela
Page 1 of 3
Portimonense
(Away) 19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1 Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1 Portimonense
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1 Portimonense
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1 Portimonense
08 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 1 Portimonense
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 1 Portimonense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
