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Lemona vs AD Ceuta

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Lemona advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lemona
15%
Draws
40%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lemona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Ceuta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lemona a 45% chance of winning this.
  • AD Ceuta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lemona, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lemona Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lemona AD Ceuta
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2012 Copa Federacion
Lemona vs AD Ceuta
3:1
Feb 29, 2012 Copa Federacion
AD Ceuta vs Lemona
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lemona 58 / 100
AD Ceuta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lemona AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AD Ceuta conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Lemona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Lemona's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Ceuta
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lemona

(Home)
13 May
Lemona
0 : 0
Amorebieta
06 May
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Lemona
28 Apr
Lemona
2 : 1
Zamora
21 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Lemona
19 Apr
Lemona
6 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 6

AD Ceuta

(Away)
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1
AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0
Albacete
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CD Alcala 2
Jerez CF 1
Comarca 4
CA Pulpileno 0
Villarrobledo 2
Olimpic Xativa 4
Almeria B 1
AD Ceuta 2
Pena 2
Tudelano 3
Naxara 2
SD Logrones 3
Lemona 5
Burgos CF 1
Amorebieta 4
Real Union 4
Lleida 1
CF Badalona 5
Ontinyent 0
Teruel 5
Coruxo FC 3
Lugo 5
Rayo Cantabria 6
Tuilla 4
Gimnastica Segoviana 2
Mexico 4
Rayo Vallecano B 7
Vecindario 0
Toledo 3
CD Puertollano 1
Binissalem 4
Santboia 1
1/8-finals
CD Alcala 2
Comarca 1
Olimpic Xativa 0
AD Ceuta 3
Tudelano 3
SD Logrones 2
Lemona 3
Amorebieta 1
CF Badalona 1
Teruel 3
Lugo 1
Rayo Cantabria 2
Mexico 0
Rayo Vallecano B 5
Toledo 1
Binissalem 2
Quarter-finals
CD Alcala 3
AD Ceuta 6
Tudelano 3
Lemona 3
Teruel 7
Rayo Cantabria 1
Rayo Vallecano B 3
Binissalem 4
Semi-finals
AD Ceuta 2
Lemona 4
Teruel 3
Binissalem 4
Final
Lemona 6
Binissalem 6