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Lemona vs AD Ceuta Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Lemona advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lemona
30%
Draws
23%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lemona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Ceuta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lemona a 47% chance of winning this.
  • AD Ceuta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lemona, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lemona Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lemona AD Ceuta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2012 Copa Federacion
Lemona vs AD Ceuta
3:1
Feb 29, 2012 Copa Federacion
AD Ceuta vs Lemona
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lemona 76 / 100
AD Ceuta 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lemona AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lemona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AD Ceuta conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Lemona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Lemona's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Ceuta
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lemona

(Home)
13 May
Lemona
0 : 0
Amorebieta
06 May
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Lemona
28 Apr
Lemona
2 : 1
Zamora
21 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Lemona
19 Apr
Lemona
6 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 6

AD Ceuta

(Away)
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CD Alcala 2
Jerez CF 1
Comarca 4
CA Pulpileno 0
Villarrobledo 2
Olimpic Xativa 4
Almeria B 1
AD Ceuta 2
Pena 2
Tudelano 3
Naxara 2
SD Logrones 3
Lemona 5
Burgos CF 1
Amorebieta 4
Real Union 4
Lleida 1
CF Badalona 5
Ontinyent 0
Teruel 5
Coruxo FC 3
Lugo 5
Rayo Cantabria 6
Tuilla 4
Gimnastica Segoviana 2
Mexico 4
Rayo Vallecano B 7
Vecindario 0
Toledo 3
CD Puertollano 1
Binissalem 4
Santboia 1
1/8-finals
CD Alcala 2
Comarca 1
Olimpic Xativa 0
AD Ceuta 3
Tudelano 3
SD Logrones 2
Lemona 3
Amorebieta 1
CF Badalona 1
Teruel 3
Lugo 1
Rayo Cantabria 2
Mexico 0
Rayo Vallecano B 5
Toledo 1
Binissalem 2
Quarter-finals
CD Alcala 3
AD Ceuta 6
Tudelano 3
Lemona 3
Teruel 7
Rayo Cantabria 1
Rayo Vallecano B 3
Binissalem 4
Semi-finals
AD Ceuta 2
Lemona 4
Teruel 3
Binissalem 4
Final
Lemona 6
Binissalem 6