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Lenense vs Atletico de Lugones Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico de Lugones in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico de Lugones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lenense
15%
Draws
26%
Atletico de Lugones
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lenense at 1 per game, Atletico de Lugones at 0.65.
  • Win probability leans Lenense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico de Lugones have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lenense Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenense Atletico de Lugones
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Atletico de Lugones
1:3
Dec 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Lenense
1:1
Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Lenense
3:0
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Atletico de Lugones
0:3
Jan 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Atletico de Lugones
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenense 84 / 100
Atletico de Lugones 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenense Atletico de Lugones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico de Lugones let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lenense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico de Lugones lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lenense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenense

(Home)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7

Atletico de Lugones

(Away)
01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6
Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1
Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2
Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0
Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gijon B 38 28 8 2 112:18 92
2 Real Aviles 38 26 7 5 90:34 85
3 Langreo 38 25 9 4 78:26 84
4 Tuilla 38 26 6 6 61:35 84
5 Real Oviedo B 38 22 9 7 78:32 75
6 Marino De Luanco 38 22 9 7 61:36 75
7 Covadonga 38 19 6 13 69:50 63
8 Condal 38 17 11 10 65:50 62
9 Union Club Ceares 38 14 7 17 47:63 49
10 Llanes 38 12 12 14 53:44 48
11 CD Colunga 38 15 3 20 51:59 48
12 CD Mosconia 38 9 8 21 38:84 35
13 Llanera 38 9 8 21 38:61 35
14 Praviano 38 9 8 21 46:78 35
15 L Entregu CF 38 8 9 21 27:66 33
16 Club Siero 38 8 9 21 36:83 33
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 7 10 21 42:78 31
18 CD Tineo 38 6 13 19 42:71 31
19 Lenense 38 7 9 22 50:84 30
20 Basico Urraca 38 6 9 23 32:64 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)