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Lenense vs Barcia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Escudero J.
Own Goal
40' Event
Castillo M.
78' Event
Coutado P.

AI Match Summary

Lenense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lenense
20%
Draws
29%
Barcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Barcia haven't matched Lenense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lenense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lenense Clean Sheet 68%
Barcia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenense Barcia
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.11 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Barcia
3:1
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Lenense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lenense Compare

Top Goalscorer Coutado P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Barcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenense 59 / 100
Barcia 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenense Barcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcia let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lenense scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lenense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lenense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenense

(Home)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7

Barcia

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)