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Lenense vs EI San Martin

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Baragano D.
33' Event
Carreeno Prieto V.
57' Event
Rubio C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Lenense and EI San Martin finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EI San Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lenense
15%
Draws
48%
EI San Martin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EI San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • EI San Martin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and EI San Martin have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lenense Clean Sheet 16%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenense EI San Martin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs EI San Martin
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Lenense
2:1
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs EI San Martin
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Lenense
2:1
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs EI San Martin
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lenense Compare

Top Goalscorer Carreeno Prieto V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

EI San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Baragano D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rubio C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenense 36 / 100
EI San Martin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenense EI San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EI San Martin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lenense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

EI San Martin let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lenense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lenense VS EI San Martin
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenense

(Home)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
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EI San Martin

(Away)
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3
EI San Martin
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Gijon B
2 : 0
EI San Martin
26 Apr
EI San Martin
1 : 0
L Entregu CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)