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Lenense vs Tuilla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Marhadi S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Lenense and Tuilla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lenense
20%
Draws
29%
Tuilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lenense haven't matched Tuilla's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lenense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lenense Clean Sheet 14%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenense Tuilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Tuilla
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Lenense
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Lenense
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Tuilla
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Lenense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lenense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Marhadi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenense 41 / 100
Tuilla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenense Tuilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuilla let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lenense scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Lenense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lenense VS Tuilla
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenense

(Home)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
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Tuilla

(Away)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)