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Lenense vs Tuilla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Marhadi S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Lenense and Tuilla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lenense
20%
Draws
38%
Tuilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Lenense haven't matched Tuilla's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lenense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lenense Clean Sheet 14%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenense Tuilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Tuilla
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Lenense
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Lenense
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Tuilla
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Lenense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lenense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Marhadi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenense 41 / 100
Tuilla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenense Tuilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuilla let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lenense scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Lenense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lenense VS Tuilla
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenense

(Home)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 6

Tuilla

(Away)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)