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Stadium Background

Leningradets vs SKA Khabarovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Roshchino Arena, Roshchino
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Chirkov M.
17'
Kalugin N.
22'
Noskov E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Leningradets and SKA Khabarovsk finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leningradets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Leningradets
35%
Draws
30%
SKA Khabarovsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leningradets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SKA Khabarovsk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors SKA Khabarovsk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 14%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leningradets SKA Khabarovsk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.11 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FNL
Leningradets vs SKA Khabarovsk
3:2
Apr 28, 2024 FNL
Leningradets vs SKA Khabarovsk
0:1
Oct 28, 2023 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Leningradets
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leningradets Compare

Top Goalscorer Morozov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emelyanov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Chirkov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leningradets 10 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leningradets SKA Khabarovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Khabarovsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leningradets scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: SKA Khabarovsk conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leningradets stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leningradets VS SKA Khabarovsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leningradets

(Home)
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
Page 1 of 6

SKA Khabarovsk

(Away)
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4
SKA Khabarovsk
05 Sept
Leningradets
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
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