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Lens vs Auxerre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
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Match Events

12' Event
Thauvin F.
(Penalty)
35'
Makosso C.
49' Event
Ivanovic F.
Assist: Sima A.

AI Match Summary

Lens in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lens
15%
Draws
49%
Auxerre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lens lately — more wins on the board than Auxerre.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Lens Clean Sheet 13%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Auxerre
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.1 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Lens vs Auxerre
5:2
Jan 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Lens vs Auxerre
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Lens
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs Auxerre
0:4
Dec 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Lens
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulhamid S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Sy L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 30 / 100
Auxerre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Auxerre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Lens found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Auxerre let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Lens has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Auxerre
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
17 Oct
Troyes
1 : 3
Lens
13 Oct
Lens
0 : 2
Sporting CP
09 Oct
Lens
2 : 1
Lyon
02 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 2
Lens
18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1
Lens
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre

(Away)
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
11 Oct
Rennes
4 : 1
Auxerre
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
2 PSG 7 4 2 1 14:9 14
3 Paris FC 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Lille 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
5 Monaco 7 4 2 1 10:6 14
6 Rennes 7 4 1 2 15:14 13
7 Lorient 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
8 Lens 7 3 1 3 14:11 10
9 Marseille 7 3 0 4 14:10 9
10 Brest 7 2 3 2 13:10 9
11 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 12:11 9
12 Auxerre 7 3 0 4 11:17 9
13 Nice 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Strasbourg 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
15 Angers 7 2 1 4 9:15 7
16 Le Mans 7 1 3 3 10:15 6
17 Troyes 7 1 1 5 5:16 4
18 Le Havre 7 0 2 5 5:11 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)