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Stadium Background

Lens vs Angers

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Thauvin F.
Assist: Abdulhamid S.
25' Event
Edouard O.
Assist: Thauvin F.
39' Event
Sangare M.
Assist: Thomasson A.

AI Match Summary

Lens in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lens
15%
Draws
37%
Angers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Lens have won more games recently than Angers.
  • Model gives Lens a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lens here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Lens Clean Sheet 68%
Angers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Angers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Ligue 1
Lens vs Angers
5:1
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Lens
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs Angers
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Angers vs Lens
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 Ligue 1
Lens vs Angers
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Edouard O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thauvin F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Angers Compare

Top Goalscorer Machine L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 50 / 100
Angers 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Angers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Angers has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lens remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Angers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
10 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 3
Lens
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0
PSG
Page 1 of 6

Angers

(Away)
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
15 Aug
Angers
3 : 2
Paris FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)