Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lens vs Boulogne

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Thauvin F.
32' Event
Lecolier M.
46'
Sub
Sima A. In: Fofana R.
Out: Sima A.

AI Match Summary

Lens in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lens
35%
Draws
32%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lens have won more games recently than Boulogne.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Lens taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lens Clean Sheet 20%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Boulogne
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.17 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Lens vs Boulogne
4:1
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Lens vs Boulogne
2:2
Nov 16, 2019 Coupe de France
Lens vs Boulogne
3:1
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Boulogne vs Lens
3:2
Jul 4, 2018 Club Friendly
Boulogne vs Lens
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thauvin F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Lecolier M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 49 / 100
Boulogne 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Boulogne has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Lens has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Boulogne
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1
Lens
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
10 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 3
Lens
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
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Boulogne

(Away)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
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