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Lens vs Famalicao

World World

Como Cup Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
0 - 1
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Bulatovic A. In: Seddik M.
Out: Bulatovic A.
1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Famalicao in this Como Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lens
6%
Draws
4%
Famalicao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lens have won more games recently than Famalicao.
  • Win probability leans Lens's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lens have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Famalicao, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lens Clean Sheet 20%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Famalicao
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 19 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Como Cup
Lens vs Famalicao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 85 / 100
Famalicao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Famalicao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Lens stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Famalicao conceded in 44% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Famalicao
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
17 May
Lyon
0 : 4
Lens
13 May
Lens
0 : 2
PSG
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Famalicao

(Away)
25 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Tondela
22 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0
Arouca
18 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0
Penafiel
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
11 Jul
Famalicao
5 : 0
Famalicao U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crystal Palace00000:00
2Lens00000:00
3Famalicao00000:00
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Villarreal00000:00
2Como00000:00
3Al-Ula00000:00
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)