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Lens vs Famalicao

World World

Como Cup Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
0 - 1
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Bulatovic A. In: Seddik M.
Out: Bulatovic A.
1' Event
Sotoca F.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Sorriso
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lens
35%
Draws
39%
Famalicao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Famalicao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lens have won more games recently than Famalicao.
  • Win probability leans Lens's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Lens have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Famalicao, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lens Clean Sheet 20%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Famalicao
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 12
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.13 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Como Cup
Lens vs Famalicao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 36 / 100
Famalicao 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Famalicao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Famalicao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lens stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Famalicao
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1
Lens
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
10 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 3
Lens
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
Page 1 of 7

Famalicao

(Away)
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4
Famalicao
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0
Gil Vicente
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0
Famalicao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
2 Famalicao 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Como 2 1 0 1 4:3 4
3 Al-Ula 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)
Promotion - Como Cup (Placement matches)