Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Demba P.
9'
9'
Thauvin F.
(Penalty)
18'
18'
Saint-Maximin A.
Assist: Thauvin F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toulouse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Toulouse haven't matched Lens's recent run of results.
- Lens are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Lens have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lens, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lens Clean Sheet 20%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lens | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2026 Coupe de France
Lens vs Toulouse
4:1
Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Lens vs Toulouse
3:2
Jan 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lens
0:3
May 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lens
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs Toulouse
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lens Compare
Top Goalscorer Saint-Maximin A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Udol M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Toulouse Compare
Top Goalscorer Hidalgo S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lens 58 / 100
Toulouse 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lens Toulouse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lens scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Toulouse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Solid form: Lens remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lens VS Toulouse
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lens
(Home) 18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1 Lens
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2 Lens
10 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 3 Lens
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1 Lorient
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1 Lorient
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2 Auxerre
16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0 PSG
08 Aug
Lens
0 : 2 Sunderland
08 Aug
Lens
4 : 1 Sunderland
Page 1 of 4
Toulouse
(Away) 19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2 Lyon
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0 Toulouse
05 Aug
Al Ain
0 : 1 Toulouse
17 May
Nantes
0 : 0 Toulouse
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Saint-Brice Courcelles 1
FC Bogny 2
Camon 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
Thonon-Evian 0
FC Rhone Vallees 2
RC Grasse 1
Seyssinet 1
Aubagne FC 0
SS Allinges 1
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Colomiers 0
Trelissac 0
Pau 2
Stade Quimperlois 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 9
St. Colomban Locmine 1
Guingamp 2
Le Cellier Mauves 0
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 1
Dominicaine 0
Espoir 1
Eveil 0
Challans 0
Pontivy 2
Sable 0
Saint-Malo 1
US Chateau-Malo 0
Bastia 6
Olympique Marcquois 5
Aire-sur-la-Lys 0
Longuenesse 0
FC Bondues 2
Touraine 2
Epernay 1
Aizenay 0
Troyes 3
Villars-l'Isle 1
Sarre Union 2
Pontarlier 2
Sochaux 3
Steenvoorde 2
Chambly 1
Loon Plage 1
Bethune 2
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
APM Metz 3
Fleury-Merogis 2
Cambrai 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 4
Yvetot 2
ASPTT Caen 1
Bayeux 3
Caen 2
Le Poinconnet 0
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 2
Clermont 1
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mauguio Carnon 0
Selongey 1
Atlas Paillade 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
Cormontreuil 5
Porto Portugais 2
Us Premontre Saint Gobain 0
Chantilly 3
Wittenheim 2
Freyming 3
Besancon RC 4
Thionville 0
Pen Hir 1
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 2
Vitre 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Pledran 0
Plabennec 2
Orvault 1
Les Herbiers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Pierrelatte 0
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Carnoux F.C. 5
Pirae 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 1
Bandrele 0
Granville 3
Dinan 1
Gouzon Avenir 1
Chauvigny 5
Lapalisse 1
Stade Poitevin 2
Le Havre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 2
GFC Ajaccio 1
Auby 0
Amiens SC 3
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avranches 1
Paris 13 Atletico 0
SA Beaumont 4
Aubervilliers 7
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ES Cappelle 2
Abbeville 3
Boulogne 2
Dunkerque 3
Saint-Jean 1
Angouleme CFC 0
Orleans 3
Bayonne 0
JA Drancy 0
Beauvais 1
Saint-Amand 0
Dieppe 3
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Montreal-la-Cluse 0
FC Chalon 3
ASPTT Dijon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
FC 2 Rives 82 0
Mazeres 1
EBBE 0
Bordeaux 1
IC Croix 3
Racing Club de France 2
Etoile Matoury 1
Le Geldar 2
Avion 0
Torcy 2
OCPAM 0
Reims 1
Etoile Bobigny 1
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Ivry 1
Le Mans 2
Saint-Meziery 1
Perigny 2
UES Montmorillon 0
Beaucouze 1
Cannes 1
Annecy 2
Olympique de Villefontaine 0
Grenoble 3
Sarreguemines 5
Furiani Agliani 3
GSA Tomblaine 0
Nancy 5
Seignosse Capbreton 2
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Bassin d'Arcachon 4
Blagnac 1
Andrezieux 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Savigneux Montbrison 3
Feurs 5
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moulien 2
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 3
Quevilly 2
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fontenay 1
Chamalieres 0
Biars-Bretenoux 0
Chateauroux 2
Paris FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mutzig 0
Raon L Etape 3
Magenta 0
Mulhouse 3
Les Bleuets 0
Concarneau 3
St. Renan 0
Stade Briochin 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nord Lozere 4
Ecotay Moingt 5
Quetigny 1
St Etienne 3
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2
Biesheim 3
Forbach 0
Red Star 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Auch 1
Canet Roussillon 4
Lavaur 1
Rodez 3
Montceau 2
L'Etrat La Tour 1
Agde 0
Montpellier 2
1/64-finals
FC Bogny 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
FC Rhone Vallees 0
Seyssinet 0
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Pau 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 0
Guingamp 4
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 0
Espoir 0
Pontivy 4
Saint-Malo 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 2
FC Bondues 0
Touraine 0
Troyes 2
Sarre Union 0
Sochaux 6
Steenvoorde 0
Bethune 1
Lens -
TBD -
APM Metz 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 2
Yvetot 0
Bayeux 1
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 3
Marseille -
TBD -
Selongey 2
Bourg Peronnas 3
Cormontreuil 1
Chantilly 2
Freyming 1
Besancon RC 0
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Plabennec 1
Les Herbiers 2
TBD -
Angers -
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Carnoux F.C. 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 2
Granville 1
Chauvigny 4
Stade Poitevin 3
Le Havre -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 0
Amiens SC 4
Brest -
TBD -
Avranches 2
Aubervilliers 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
Abbeville 0
Dunkerque 5
Saint-Jean 1
Orleans 2
Beauvais 1
Dieppe 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
FC Chalon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Mazeres 3
Bordeaux 4
IC Croix 2
Le Geldar 1
Torcy 1
Reims 5
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Le Mans 3
Perigny 3
Beaucouze 1
Annecy 1
Grenoble 2
Sarreguemines 3
Nancy 4
Football Club Marmande 47 0
Bassin d'Arcachon 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Feurs 1
Lorient -
TBD -
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 2
PSG -
TBD -
Fontenay 4
Chateauroux 1
Paris FC -
TBD -
Raon L Etape 3
Mulhouse 2
Concarneau 1
Stade Briochin 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
Ecotay Moingt 1
St Etienne 11
Biesheim 2
Red Star 1
TBD -
Metz -
Canet Roussillon 1
Rodez 0
Montceau 0
Montpellier 2
1/32-finals
St. Maur Lusitanos 0
Lille 1
Lyon 3
Saint-Cyr Collonges 0
Istres 1
SA Merignac 0
Guingamp 0
Laval 1
Pontivy 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 1
Troyes 3
Sochaux 4
Bethune 2
Lens 3
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Bayeux 2
Blois Foot 41 1
Marseille 6
Bourg Peronnas 0
Chantilly 3
Freyming 0
Les Sables 0
Rennes 3
Les Herbiers 0
Angers 1
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Chauvigny 1
Le Havre 0
Amiens SC 2
Brest 1
Avranches 2
Strasbourg 2
Dunkerque 1
Orleans 3
Dieppe 0
Auxerre 1
Monaco 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Bordeaux 0
IC Croix 0
Reims 4
Le Mans 2
Perigny 1
Grenoble 1
Nancy 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 7
AS Le Gosier 0
PSG 4
Fontenay 0
Paris FC 3
Raon L Etape 0
Concarneau 3
Nantes 5
Nice 2
St Etienne 1
Biesheim 0
Metz 3
Canet Roussillon 0
Montpellier 1
1/16-finals
Lille 1
Lyon 2
Istres 0
Laval 2
Bastia 0
Troyes 2
Sochaux 0
Lens 3
Bayeux 0
Marseille 9
Chantilly 1
Rennes 3
Angers 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Amiens SC 4
Avranches 0
Strasbourg 6
Orleans 1
Monaco 3
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Reims 1
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 3
PSG 0
Paris FC 1
Nantes 1
Nice 2
Metz 0
Montpellier 4
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Laval 0
Troyes 2
Lens 4
Marseille 3
Rennes 0
Toulouse 1
Amiens SC 0
Strasbourg 3
Monaco 1
Reims 3
Le Mans 0
Lorient 2
Paris FC 0
Nice 3
Montpellier 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 2
Lens 3
Marseille 2
Toulouse 3
Strasbourg 2
Reims 1
Lorient 0
Nice 1
Semi-finals
Lens 4
Toulouse 1
Strasbourg 0
Nice 2
Final
Lens 3
Nice 1
