Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lens vs Villarreal

World World

Como Cup Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Perez A.
6'
Bulatovic A.
8' Event
Udol M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Lens
20%
Draws
36%
Villarreal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Lens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lens are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Lens have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lens, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lens Clean Sheet 16%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Villarreal
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.31 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Como Cup
Lens vs Villarreal
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Udol M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fofana R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Villarreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 57 / 100
Villarreal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Villarreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lens scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Villarreal has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lens stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Villarreal
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0
PSG
08 Aug
Lens
0 : 2
Sunderland
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Villarreal

(Away)
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3
Dep. A Coruna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
23 Aug
Atl. Madrid
2 : 2
Villarreal
16 Aug
Racing Santander
2 : 2
Villarreal
08 Aug
Galatasaray
1 : 2
Villarreal
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Lens 3
Villarreal 1
Famalicao 2
Como 3
Crystal Palace 3
Al-Ula 1