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Lens W vs Fleury 91 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Degouve-Brabant Stadium, Arras
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Lens W
30%
Draws
62%
Fleury 91 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fleury 91 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fleury 91 W come out ahead of Lens W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fleury 91 W a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Fleury 91 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fleury 91 W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fleury 91 W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lens W Clean Sheet 17%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens W Fleury 91 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Lens W vs Fleury 91 W
1:4
Feb 7, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Lens W vs Fleury 91 W
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Lens W
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Lens W
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Fleury 91 W vs Lens W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens W 10 / 100
Fleury 91 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens W Fleury 91 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Fleury 91 W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Lens W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lens W VS Fleury 91 W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens W

(Home)
21 Oct
Lens W
1 : 4
Fleury 91 W
17 Oct
Lens W
1 : 3
Strasbourg W
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
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Fleury 91 W

(Away)
21 Oct
Lens W
1 : 4
Fleury 91 W
18 Oct
Marseille W
2 : 2
Fleury 91 W
04 Oct
Fleury 91 W
1 : 3
PSG W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)