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Lens W vs PSG W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Degouve-Brabant Stadium, Arras
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ajibade R.
Assist: Echegini J.
26'
Limage J.
61'
Sub
Gelders N. In: Yeboah A.
Out: Gelders N.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women game between Lens W and PSG W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Lens W
35%
Draws
52%
PSG W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: PSG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • PSG W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and PSG W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lens W Clean Sheet 10%
PSG W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens W PSG W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.04 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Lens W vs PSG W
0:2
Feb 20, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
PSG W vs Lens W
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Lens W vs PSG W
0:3
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Lens W vs PSG W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

PSG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajibade R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens W 30 / 100
PSG W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens W PSG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens W found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

PSG W let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lens W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lens W VS PSG W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens W

(Home)
31 Oct
Lens W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
24 Oct
Le Havre W
0 : 0
Lens W
21 Oct
Lens W
1 : 4
Fleury 91 W
17 Oct
Lens W
1 : 3
Strasbourg W
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
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PSG W

(Away)
01 Nov
Paris FC W
1 : 1
PSG W
29 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
PSG W
23 Oct
PSG W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
17 Oct
PSG W
0 : 4
OL Lyonnes W
04 Oct
Fleury 91 W
1 : 3
PSG W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 7 7 0 0 41:5 21
2 PSG W 7 5 1 1 10:6 16
3 Paris FC W 6 4 1 1 14:9 13
4 Marseille W 7 3 3 1 9:11 12
5 Le Havre W 7 2 3 2 6:11 9
6 Nantes W 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Strasbourg W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
8 Montpellier W 7 1 3 3 9:10 6
9 Fleury 91 W 6 1 3 2 8:14 6
10 Toulouse W 6 1 1 4 7:19 4
11 Lens W 7 0 3 4 6:14 3
12 Saint-Malo W 6 1 0 5 4:12 3
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)