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Lens W vs Strasbourg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Degouve-Brabant Stadium, Arras
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lens W host Strasbourg W in the Premiere Ligue Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Lens W have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Strasbourg W's 1.24 scored and 1.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Strasbourg W slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.56) back Strasbourg W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Lens W
20%
Draws
70%
Strasbourg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Strasbourg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Lens W haven't matched Strasbourg W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Strasbourg W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lens W Clean Sheet 15%
Strasbourg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens W Strasbourg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Lens W vs Strasbourg W
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Lens W
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs Strasbourg W
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Coupe de France Women
Lens W vs Strasbourg W
2:1
Oct 8, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Lens W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens W 27 / 100
Strasbourg W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens W Strasbourg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strasbourg W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Strasbourg W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lens W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lens W VS Strasbourg W
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens W

(Home)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
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Strasbourg W

(Away)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
11 Sept
PSG W
2 : 0
Strasbourg W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)