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Lentigione vs Cittadella Vis Modena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Cericola M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Lentigione and Cittadella Vis Modena finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella Vis Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lentigione
20%
Draws
40%
Cittadella Vis Modena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cittadella Vis Modena haven't matched Lentigione's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 24%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Cittadella Vis Modena
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.69 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:1
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Lentigione
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Cittadella Vis Modena
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Cittadella Vis Modena
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Lentigione
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Cericola M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 37 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Cittadella Vis Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Vis Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Lentigione has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cittadella Vis Modena has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS Cittadella Vis Modena
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3
Piacenza
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella Vis Modena

(Away)
07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)