Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Lentigione

1 - 1

Pistoiese

Our Tip

Match Events

64'

Nappo G.

(Penalty)

86'

Pinzauti L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Lentigione

39%

Draws

30%

Pistoiese

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Pistoiese have won more games recently than Lentigione.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Lentigione Clean Sheet 16%

Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lentigione	Pistoiese
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	18	22
Draws	7	7
Losses	5	4
Goals Scored	1.63	1.88
Goals Conceded	1	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Lentigione vs Pistoiese

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Pistoiese vs Lentigione

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Pistoiese vs Lentigione

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Lentigione vs Pistoiese

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Lentigione vs Pistoiese

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinzauti L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 31 / 100

Pistoiese 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lentigione Pistoiese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Lentigione went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pistoiese has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS Pistoiese

1.63 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8