Sport Picks
Match Events
64'
64'
Nappo G.
(Penalty)
86'
86'
Pinzauti L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pistoiese have won more games recently than Lentigione.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Pistoiese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 11%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lentigione | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Pistoiese
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Lentigione
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Lentigione
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Pistoiese
0:0
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Pistoiese
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lentigione Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Pistoiese Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinzauti L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lentigione 10 / 100
Pistoiese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lentigione Pistoiese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lentigione scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Lentigione went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Pistoiese has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Lentigione VS Pistoiese
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lentigione
(Home) 27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 3
Pistoiese
(Away) 27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3 Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0 Solbiatese
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3 Pistoiese
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0 Pistoiese
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
