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Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Minessi A.
23' Event
Nanni L.
63' Event
Capone A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Lentigione advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lentigione
20%
Draws
33%
Pro Palazzolo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lentigione carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Lentigione have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pro Palazzolo, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lentigione here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Pro Palazzolo
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 18 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo
3:2
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Palazzolo vs Lentigione
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Nanni L.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Minessi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capone A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 42 / 100
Pro Palazzolo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Pro Palazzolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pro Palazzolo has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lentigione has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS Pro Palazzolo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
Page 1 of 6

Pro Palazzolo

(Away)
27 Sept
Scanzorosciate
1 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Lentigione 3
Pro Palazzolo 2
Pistoiese 1
Piacenza 3
Final
Lentigione 0
Piacenza 2