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Leones de Rosario vs Fenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leones de Rosario host Fenix in the Primera C. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Leones de Rosario have averaged 1 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Fenix's 0.76 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Leones de Rosario slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.69, favoring Leones de Rosario. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Leones de Rosario
30%
Draws
33%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leones de Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Leones de Rosario have won more games recently than Fenix.
  • Model gives Leones de Rosario a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Leones de Rosario Clean Sheet 20%
Fenix Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones de Rosario Fenix
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Primera C
Fenix vs Leones de Rosario
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones de Rosario 40 / 100
Fenix 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones de Rosario Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leones de Rosario Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leones de Rosario scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Fenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Leones de Rosario has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Leones de Rosario VS Fenix
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones de Rosario

(Home)
05 Oct
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 2
Leones de Rosario
28 Sept
Leones de Rosario
0 : 1
Club Lujan
20 Sept
General Lamadrid
1 : 1
Leones de Rosario
12 Sept
CA Lugano
0 : 0
Leones de Rosario
04 Sept
Yupanqui
0 : 1
Leones de Rosario
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
06 Oct
Fenix
1 : 0
Atlas
27 Sept
Canuelas
2 : 1
Fenix
21 Sept
Fenix
1 : 0
Deportivo Muniz
14 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
CSR Espanol
06 Sept
Deportivo Espanol
1 : 0
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)